Albion are targeting a milestone win on the road after derby delight, writes Ryan Elliott, football writer at Oddschecker.
Albion’s swashbuckling victory over rivals Crystal Palace will live long in the memory, but Chris Hughton’s side have little time to bask in their success, as the festive fixture list stops for nobody.
The Seagulls’ next assignment is a trip to Burnley – who sit second-bottom of the Premier League – and this is undoubtedly a great chance to eclipse last season’s tally of two away victories.
Burnley have the worst home record in the division – earning just four points from their seven matches at Turf Moor – whereas there are six sides who have a worse away record than Albion, which is a significant improvement on last season.
The bookies have made Albion ever-so-slight favourites for this one, and judging by what we have seen on the pitch this season, it is hard to argue too much with that.
Sean Dyche’s men have the second-worst defence in the league – conceding a whopping 32 in their 15 matches – while Albion have scored in their last four on the road.
Glenn Murray is a doubt for Saturday following his shoulder injury against Crystal Palace, though Florin Andone has proven he can cut the mustard in the Premier League. The Romanian’s solo effort against Palace will live long in the memory.
Dale Stephens will also return following his three-match suspension, though considering how well Davy Propper and Yves Bissouma have performed in the last couple of matches, he may have to bide his time before returning to first team action.
Burnley look rudderless, and have alarmingly regressed following the successes of last season, while Albion continue to improve – both home and away. The Clarets have lost five of their seven home matches, making this a wonderful opportunity for Albion to register back-to-back Premier League away victories.
At 7/4 best price, an Albion win looks a great prospect with great value. Tuesday’s confidence-boosting win over Palace sees the Seagulls head into this full of confidence, and victory is certainly within reach.
These two sides played out two 0-0 draws last season, though I find it hard to see a repeat of this considering Burnley’s defensive record.
Instead, this week’s banker is for the first goal to be scored between 0-29 minutes, best-priced at a generous 11/10.
While this sort of market doesn’t scream ‘Burnley v Brighton’, the stats certainly do.
Nine of Burnley’s 15 league matches have seen a goal scored before the half-hour mark, while the same goes for ten of Albion’s 15. It could be a better game than most expect, and an early goal looks a good possibility.
Burnley have conceded first in nine matches this season, which ties in nicely with this Saturday’s longshot: Florin Andone to score first, best-priced at 6/1.
The Albion striker has been nothing short of brilliant recently, and is well worth a start against Burnley – regardless of Murray’s fitness.
With Burnley conceding goals for fun this season, 6/1 is a very nice price for Albion to break the deadlock via their new hero.